Tropical Cyclone Gezani is currently moving west-southwest, away from Madagascar, and has been downgraded to a severe tropical storm.
In a Thursday morning update, the Meteorological Services Department (MSD) said Gezani is likely to strengthen over the coming days and could reach tropical cyclone strength later tonight.
There is a high chance it could intensify into an intense tropical cyclone by Friday evening as it moves across the Mozambique Channel.
The system is not expected to reach Zimbabwe and is forecast to drift away from Mozambique’s coast over the southern Mozambique Channel during the weekend. The MSD said:
“Gezani continues to move away from Madagascar in a west-southwest direction while intensifying. It is at the stage of a severe tropical storm.
“Further intensification is expected in the coming days as it crosses the Channel. It could reach tropical cyclone strength by tonight on a track gradually curving southwest.
“Intensification to intense tropical cyclone strength is possible on Friday evening before approaching the coast of Mozambique.
“A very close passage to the Mozambican coast or even a temporary landing is envisaged between Friday night to Saturday and Saturday morning at the level of the province of Inhambane, but the distance of passage remains to be specified.
“The system is then expected to move away from the coasts again in the southern Mozambique Channel over the weekend, but with a very uncertain trajectory from Sunday onwards.”
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