The Meteorological Services Department of Zimbabwe (MSD) has released its 2025–2026 Seasonal Rainfall Forecast, highlighting an erratic start to the rainy season before conditions improve later in the year.
October – November – December 2025
The season is expected to begin with delayed and erratic rainfall, particularly in October and November.
Northern areas are likely to face below-normal rainfall, raising concerns of dry spells during this early stage.
Southern and western provinces, however, may receive normal to above-normal rainfall.
Temperatures will be warmer than average in October and November, before cooling down in December.
December 2025
Conditions are forecast to improve significantly, with normal to above-normal rainfall expected across much of the country.
The south will likely benefit from above-normal to normal rains, improving agricultural prospects.
January – March 2026
Rainfall patterns remain divided.
The northern provinces may continue experiencing below-normal rainfall, raising concerns for crops and water resources in those areas.
Central, southern, and western regions are forecast to enjoy normal to above-normal rainfall, supporting better harvests.
Implications
The MSD warns that the season’s delayed onset and variability could challenge farmers and water resource managers. Farmers are encouraged to adopt climate-smart practices, plant drought-tolerant crops in vulnerable areas, and take advantage of rainfall peaks expected from December onwards.
Communities in northern Zimbabwe should prepare for possible dry spells, while those in the south and west can expect better chances of a productive season if rains materialize as forecast.
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