Although poll forecasts have so far tipped a win for the ANC, the extent to which percentages differ is worrisome. According to IPSOS poll published in March, the ANC is likely to win with about 60 percent whilst the Institute for Race Relations (IRR) forecast of May suggests that it is likely to win with between 49,5 and 51 percent.
For the first time in 25 years, as Political analyst Richard Calland said, voter uncertainty was at unprecedented levels and growing as voting day draws near.
Academic and political analyst Stephen Friedman suggests that the ANC has improved under Ramaphosa. He said that can give the ANC a chance to win the election.
Some argue that without question, Ramaphosa is going to win, but, the margin will be very low considering stiff competition fro particularly the DA and the Economic Freedom Fighters.
The ANC’s performance shall be greatly affected by corruption allegations reported to be perpetrated by its top officials. The party, like the DA, is suffering from internal divisions.
There is also the issue of land redistribution which the EFF and the Black First Land First have been championing. A retreating role by the government on the matter gives competitive advantage away to the opponets.
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